Nitu C., Krapivin V.F., Mkrtchyan F.A. Advanced Ecology. Monitoring, diagnostics, prognosis. Information Systems in Ecology, 2 . Matrix Rom, Bucharest , 2021 . ISBN 978-606-25-0557-7
Полный текст не доступен из этого репозитория.Аннотация
Second volume of this book continues a consideration and discussion of the acquired deep insight and understanding of current themes and developments in global ecological research. The themes discussed in second volume of this book involve population ecology as well as community and ecosystem ecology, and the study of biocomplexity and survivability. The characteristic feature of the present global ecological situation is an increase of instability or system civilization crisis, whose global scale is expressed through deterioration of the humans’ and animals’ habitat. The most substantial feature of global ecodynamics of the late 20th and early 21st centuries is a rapid increase of population size, an increase of the share of the urban population (a considerable increase of the number of megapolises), an increase of the scales of such dangerous events as floods, wildfires, droughts, etc. With the growing population size the problems of providing people with food and improving their living conditions in many regions not only will not be resolved but become still more urgent. The contribution of possible decrease of per capita consumption (due to increased efficiency of technologies) into the cumulative consumption will be exceeded by the impact of the population size growth. An important fact is that despite the predominant increase of population in developing countries, their contribution to the impact on the environment will not necessarily exceed that reached in developed countries. The key moment of ensuring the nature/society system (NSS) sustainable development is the relationship between production and consumption mentioned at the World Summit on Sustainable Development in Johannesburg (2002) and other international documents. With the civilization development, more urgent becomes the problem of predicting the scale of expected climate change and associated change of humans’ habitat. First of all, the matter concerns the origin and propagation of undesirable natural phenomena leading to death of living beings and causing a large-scale economic damage to people. In the historical past, natural anomalies of various spatial and temporal scales are known to have played a certain role in the evolution of nature, causing and activating mechanisms for natural systems’ regulation. With the development of industry and growing population density, these mechanisms have suffered considerable changes and acquired the life-threatening character. This is connected with the growth and propagation of the amplitudes of anthropogenic disturbances in the environment. Numerous studies of the appearing problems carried out during the recent decades have shown that the frequency of catastrophic phenomena in nature and their scale have been continuously growing, leading to the growing risk of large losses in economy and human lives as well as to breaking the social infrastructure. A search of the ways of the NSS sustainable development is connected with the development of information technologies which would make it possible to forecast the consequences of accomplishing the anthropogenic projects without which it is impossible to improve conditions of population existence. One of such approaches has been developed by the authors. It consists in creation of a new technology of geoinformation monitoring based on adaptive combination of the environmental observations and results of numerical modelling of processes taking place in the NSS.
| Тип объекта: | Книга |
|---|---|
| Авторы на русском. ОБЯЗАТЕЛЬНО ДЛЯ АНГЛОЯЗЫЧНЫХ ПУБЛИКАЦИЙ!: | Ниту Л., Крапивин В.Ф., Мкртчян Ф.А. |
| Подразделения (можно выбрать несколько, удерживая Ctrl): | 209 лаб. вычислительная |
| URI: | http://cplire.ru:8080/id/eprint/8043 |
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